Having apparently feared that “one too many and they’ll turn” Bertie Ahern is to resign. The Irish PM has indicated that various scandal investigations – from which he insists he has nothing to hide – threaten to undermine the office of Taoiseach. So much for the bare facts on a story that will not have eluded those with a passing interest in British and Irish politics.
The connection between Ahern’s fate and Scotland’s independence prospects appear to be tenuous but The Herald earns top marks for trying. In today’s (Thursday) leader, the paper warns:
“This has a resonance for Scotland, Britain and the European Union.
“Alex Salmond, the First Minister, has made much of Ireland's economic miracle, arguing it is a success story that could be emulated by Scotland if independent. The narrative looks less convincing, with potentially damaging consequences for the SNP, given Ireland's economic problems. The challenge now for Dublin's coalition government is to manage a transition from high to low growth. Ministers warn of tougher times ahead. If the Celtic Tiger has been tamed, it will hold less appeal for Mr Salmond and be less persuasive for Scots in the run-up to a possible referendum on independence.”
Now, it is of course unfair to blame Alf Young for claptrap such as this when editorials are invariably printed without a byline. Nevertheless, the work does seem to bear his thumbprint to an extent that even Shirley McKie would be unlikely to challenge.
This is not a new theme to The Herald leader comment. On 14 February, the paper posited:
“It can be argued that Dublin has become, in many ways, Ireland's London. An EU report, published earlier this week, on wealth disparities in different parts of Europe, highlighted the discrepancies and inequalities in Ireland between thriving and poorer areas. There is a bigger question to address in the context of the so-called Irish miracle. Is the Celtic tiger running out of energy? If so, it would challenge many of Mr Salmond's assumptions and could, potentially, undermine the case for independence.”
Just a few days earlier (8 February) Young was identified as the author of the following with what should by now be a familiar theme:
“Let me offer one example from the Salmond government's own hand.
“It has just published a discussion paper on tackling poverty, inequality and deprivation in Scotland. In it, the SNP government proposes a cohesion golden rule which seeks more balanced growth across Scotland to give all Scots "the chance to succeed". But research it has commissioned shows just how hard it might be to deliver on that. Between 1995 and 2005, according to findings on page 17, Scottish GDP increased by, on average, 2.5% a year. Over the same period, annual growth in two of Alex Salmond's arc of prosperity countries, Ireland and Finland, averaged 7.5% and 3.5% respectively.
“Should we assume that higher growth then led to greater fairness? Not a bit of it. Between 1995 and 2005, despite that stratospheric growth, the percentage of people in poverty in Ireland rose from 19% to 20%…”
“But [the SNP government] has staked substantial political capital [its first] Budget delivering some transformational changes in Scotland's economy and in the kind of country Scotland is. If it fails to deliver, it will have no-one but itself to blame”.
The Herald, perhaps precipitously, last year celebrated 300 years of the union with the assertion that partnership with England had generally served Scotland’s interests well, warning of the uncertain perils of separation. In the aftermath of the Holyrood elections, and perhaps having underestimated the strength of support for independence amongst Herald readers, the pro-unionist line has generally been less explicit of late while still prompting invective in response.
The Herald may, of course, take any position it pleases but scare-mongering on the basis of an Irish politician’s domestic problems (and perhaps hinting at old prejudices) will do nothing for the title’s credibility on this issue of such profound importance to Scotland's people.